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瑞甲 弗列积vs庞马普卡纳

瑞甲 弗列积vs庞马普卡纳

 

瑞甲 弗列积vs庞马普卡纳

【00:45 瑞甲 弗列积vs庞马普卡纳】

On the other hand, Brommapojkarna is in the bottom of the league, in points and in goals scored. However, they scores in the 52% of the games, and 7 of 9 goals were scored in the last 15 minutes of the game, normally with nothing to play for. So, tomorrow I expect a closed game, because Frej at home is a tight one (3:1 in goals scored/conceded in these 6 games at home). I was interestend in the under market @1.80 but Brommapojkarna is the worst team of the Division, so they're weak defensively, and Frej scored 3 in last game against Mjallby. I prefer this bet, because we only need 36% of efectivity, so for me it woth it.

Bad news are that away team is specialized in late goals. They scored in 71', 75', 76', 86', 88, 89' & 90 minute. In 5 of these goals the game was decided with a 2, 3 or 5-0, so it's likely that home team was relaxed or something. In my opinion this won't be the case of Frej because I don't expect a lot of goals there. At this point they seem to be (only seem) solid when they have a minimal difference. Past year Frej received a goal in the mentioned scenario, when they were winning 5-0 to Valsa, and then the away team scored in 88'. Is something that could happen, but for this reason the odds are like that.

A part from Frej clean sheet @2,75 Under2.5 @1.80 and Frej to win to nil @3.40 I was interested too in Sasa Plavsic to score anytime @3.40. He seems to be finally a regular in the starting 11 and scored the last 3 games for Frej. Last season he scored 9 in 3rd Division+Cup. All the same, I must be consequent, If I expect a low scorer, I can't bet in this market.

 

笔者发现,客队庞马普卡纳今季瑞甲所取得的全部9个入球,其中有7个是出现在比赛进行最后15分锺。而作客所取得的全部进球都是在落后两球或以上的情况下入球才产生的,笔者理解成主队取得领先后战斗状态有所鬆懈大门才被庞马普卡纳攻破。主队弗列积今季6次联赛主场出击只有1个失球出现,防守做得相当好,即使在领先情况下,笔者认为庞马普卡纳都很难再去实现对手放鬆从而获得的进球。

因此笔者认为本场有3个选项可以去选择:1.主队没有丢球 2.小球 3.主队没有丢球并获胜。(3选1) 或可缩少投注额,达到期望值

 

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瑞甲 弗列积vs庞马普卡纳

瑞甲 弗列积vs庞马普卡纳

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This match is between Fred (10th place) and Brommapojkarna (16th place). The home team has been solid in this campaign, though not scoring alot of goals but they have five clean sheets in the last five home games. They had three wins and a two draws in their last five home games. They are not a very good team on the road because they have only won two of their last away games and lost three of them.

On the other hand, the visitors (Brommapojkarna) has not been a good team in this campaign as they are fighting relegation. They have only one victory in their last five games. They lost all their last five games on the road, which makes them the worst away team. They only have one win in their last 10 games (home and way combined)

Both team has played thirteen (13) games this season, Frej has a total of 13 goals scored, 14 goals conceived while Brommapojkarna has scored Nine (9) goals and conceived Twenty-one(21) goals. Their only H2H was in August 2014 where Brommapojkarna defeated Frej by 5-1 but I don't think history will repeat itself in this case.

My pick would be Draw no bet for the home team.

 

另一位笔者的看法

主队在主场没有取得太多的进球数字,但他们在最近的五个主场比赛皆保持不败成绩为3胜2平。

另一方面,客队庞马普卡纳从瑞超降级到瑞甲后,并没取得好成绩,而作客成绩为6战6败,是联赛中客场表现最糟糕的一支球队,对上10场比赛他们只取得1场胜杖(主场+客场)。

两支球队今季都打了13场联赛,弗列积共攻入13球丢了14球,而布庞马普卡纳攻入9球却丢了21球。

他们唯一一次交手在2014年8月在布洛马波卡纳以5:1击败了弗列积,笔者不认为历史会重演,他选择了投注主队获胜,若然平局则会退款在这项投注玩法上。

 

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